Peer Reviewed Articles
Kennedy, Ryan. Forthcoming. “Making Useful Conflict Predictions: Methods for Addressing Skewed Classes and Implementing Cost-Sensitive Learning in the Study of State Failure.” Journal of Peace Research. [Link]
Lazer, David M., Anand E. Sokhey, Michael A. Neblo, Kevin M. Esterling, and Ryan Kennedy. Forthcoming. “Expanding the Conversation: Multiplier Effects from a Deliberative Field Experiment.” Political Communication. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. Forthcoming. “The Limits of Soft Balancing: The Frozen Conflict in Transnistria and the Challenge to EU and NATO Strategy.” Small Wars and Insurgencies.
Kennedy, Ryan, Eric Forbush, Brian Keegan, and David Lazer. 2015. “Turning Introductory Comparative Politics and Elections Courses into Research Communities Using Wikipedia: Improving Both Teaching and Research.” PS: Political Science and Politics 48(2): 378-384. [Link]
Lazer, David, Ryan Kennedy, Gary King, and Allessandro Vespignani. 2014. “The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis.” Science 343(6176): 1203-1205. [Link]
Cantir, Cristian and Ryan Kennedy. 2014. “Balancing on the Shoulders of Giants: Moldova's Foreign Policy Towards Russia and the European Union.” Foreign Policy Analysis. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2014. “Fading Colours? A Synthetic Comparative Case Study of the Impact of ‘Colour Revolutions’.” Comparative Politics 46(3): 273-292. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2013. “The Role of Supranational Identity in Promoting Democratic Values.” European Union Politics 14(2): 228-249. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2013. “Economic Development Assumptions and the Elusive Curse of Oil.” International Studies Quarterly 57(4): 760-771. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Matthew Dickenson. 2012. “Turkish Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in the AKP Era.” Foreign Policy Analysis 9(2): 171-188. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “Supranational Identity, Democratic Attitudes, and Political Participation: The Case of Moldova.” European Union Politics, 11(4): 511-532. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. "The Contradiction of Modernization: A Conditional Model of Endogenous Democratization." Journal of Politics, 72(3): 785-798. [Link]
Neblo, Michael A., Kevin M. Esterling, Ryan P. Kennedy, David M. Lazer, and Anand E. Sokhey. 2010. “Who Wants to Deliberate – and Why?” American Political Science Review, 104(3): 566-583. [Link]
· Winner of the 2010 Heinz I. Eulau Award for best article published in the American Political Science Review.
Kennedy, Ryan. 2009. “Survival and Accountability: An Analysis of the Empirical Support for ‘Selectorate Theory.’” International Studies Quarterly, 53(3): 695-714. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2007. "Fragments of Economic Accountability and Trade Policy." Foreign Policy Analysis, 3(2): 145-169. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2006. "A Colorless Election: The 2005 Presidential Elections in Kazakhstan and What it Means for the Future of the Opposition." Problems in Post-Communism, 53: 46-58. [Link]
Ishiyama, John T. and Ryan Kennedy. 2001. “Mixed Electoral Systems, Super Presidentialism, Candidate Recruitment and Political Party Development in Russia, Ukraine, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan.” Europe-Asia Studies, 53(8): 1177-1191. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and John T. Ishiyama. 2001. “Writing Rights: Factors Influencing the Strength of Rights Clauses in Post-Communist Countries.” The Journal of Political Science, 29: 1-29. [Link]
Book Chapters
Dickenson, Matthew and Ryan Kennedy. 2011. “Attitudes Towards East and West in Turkish Public Opinion.” In Kilic Kanat, Kadir Ustun, and Nuh Yilmaz (eds.). History, Politics, and Foreign Policy in Turkey. Ankara, Turkey: SETA. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “A Quiet Revolution? Moldova’s 2005 Parliamentary Elections and the Influence of the Colour Revolutions.” In Donnacha O’Beachain and Abel Polese (eds.). The Colour Revolutions in the Former Soviet Republics. London: Routledge. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “In The ‘New Great Game,’ Who Is Getting Played: The Effect of Chinese Investment in the Kazakhstan’s Oil Sector.” In Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Heidi Kjaernet, and Indra Overland (eds.). Caspian Petro-Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan. London: Routledge [Link]
Book Reviews
Kennedy, Ryan. 2013. “Book Review: Moldova: Arena of International Influences.” East European Politics 29(2): 253-254. [Link]
Analysis and Opinion Articles
Lazer, David and Ryan Kennedy. 1 October 2015. "What We Can Learn from the Failure of Google Flu Trends." Wired. [Link]
The Lazer Lab (Ryan Kennedy, David Lazer, Katherine Ognyanova, Oren Tsur). 21 September 2015. "Debate Data Reveals It's Still the Trump Show." Politico. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan, David Lazer, Katherine Ognyanova, Oren Tsur. 13 August 2015. “DATA: Trump Won the Debate – or at Least Talked the Most.” Politico. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Halil Bilecen. 12 September 2014. “Turkey's Ambivalence Toward Joing a US Coalition Against IS Reflects the Country's Difficult Strategic Position.” The London School of Economics and Political Science European Politics (EUROPP) and Policy Blog. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 13 January 2012. “Moldova: Separatist Settlement is Still a Distant Goal.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2011. “Oil and Good Governance: Do Oil Resources Lead to Weak Institutions?” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2011. “Privatization and Nationalization in Oil and Gas: Foreign Policy and Oil Contracts in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2011. “Nationalization of the Oil Sector: A Political Economy Perspective.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 20 August 2010. “Moldova: Referendum Campaign Previews Challenges Ahead.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Adilzhan Nurmakov. 2010. “Resource Nationalism Trends in Kazakhstan, 2004-2009.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 4 December 2009. “Moldova: AEI scores early foreign policy success.” Oxford Analytica.[Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 28 September 2009. “Moldova: Sharp remittance falls darken outlook.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 26 August 2009. “Moldova: Former Communist emerges as kingmaker.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 29 July 2009. “Moldova: New elections are unlikely to break deadlock.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 9 April 2009. “Moldova: Protests galvanize youth, heighten tensions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 24 October 2008. “Parties Manoeuvre Ahead of Parliamentary Vote.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 7 October 2008. “Moldova/Russia: Transnistria talks gain momentum.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2 May 2008. “Moldova: Transnistria talks offer no quick solutions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2 April 2008. “Moldova: Chisinau-Gagauzia tensions remain strained.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 15 January 2008. “Moldova: Old challenges represent themselves in 2008.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 24 December 2007. “Moldova: Christmas row is sign of deeper tensions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 21 November 2007. “Moldova: HIV/AIDS is at point of becoming a pandemic.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 8 August 2007. "Moldova: Contrary forces favour policy short-termism." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 18 July 2007. "Moldova: Press freedoms remain problematic." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 28 June 2007. "Moldova: Local Elections Show National Trends." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(15). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 25 June 2007. "Moldova: Communists lose ground in local elections." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 14 May 2007. "Moldova: Voronin pins hopes on encouraging investment." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 3 May 2007. "Talk of Transdniestr Agreement Sparks Speculation." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(11). (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 27 April 2007. "Moldova/Russia: Reported Transnistria deal is unlikely." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 April 2007. "Counting Losses as Russian Wine Ban Lingers." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(10). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 30 March 2007. "Moldova/Romania: Visa Row May Result in Looser Ties." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 22 March 2007. "What's Behind Harsh Criticism of Romania." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(1). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 March 2007. "Moldova: Government action hinders media freedom." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 22 February 2007. "Moldova's Broadcast Privatization -- Reform or Censorship?" RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(4). Re-published in The Moldova Foundation's Weekly News Bulletin, 27 February 2007, 3(31). Re-published again in In Focus magazine. (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 9 February 2007. "An EU Invasion Waiting to Happen." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(4). (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 11 January 2007. "Tricky year begins for new EU neighbour." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 January 2007. "Unprecedented Opportunities, Challenges Posed by $1.2 Billion Aid Package." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(1). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 21 December 2006. "Tirsapol line hardens ahead of negotiations." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 29 November 2006. "Kazakhstan Learns to Love Borat." Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst 8(23): 3-4. [Link]
Marcus, Ustina, Nigmet Ibadildin, and Ryan Kennedy. 30 November 2005. "Vested Interests to Determine Kazakhstan's Presidential Race." Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst 6(23): 8-9. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. Forthcoming. “Making Useful Conflict Predictions: Methods for Addressing Skewed Classes and Implementing Cost-Sensitive Learning in the Study of State Failure.” Journal of Peace Research. [Link]
Lazer, David M., Anand E. Sokhey, Michael A. Neblo, Kevin M. Esterling, and Ryan Kennedy. Forthcoming. “Expanding the Conversation: Multiplier Effects from a Deliberative Field Experiment.” Political Communication. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. Forthcoming. “The Limits of Soft Balancing: The Frozen Conflict in Transnistria and the Challenge to EU and NATO Strategy.” Small Wars and Insurgencies.
Kennedy, Ryan, Eric Forbush, Brian Keegan, and David Lazer. 2015. “Turning Introductory Comparative Politics and Elections Courses into Research Communities Using Wikipedia: Improving Both Teaching and Research.” PS: Political Science and Politics 48(2): 378-384. [Link]
Lazer, David, Ryan Kennedy, Gary King, and Allessandro Vespignani. 2014. “The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis.” Science 343(6176): 1203-1205. [Link]
Cantir, Cristian and Ryan Kennedy. 2014. “Balancing on the Shoulders of Giants: Moldova's Foreign Policy Towards Russia and the European Union.” Foreign Policy Analysis. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2014. “Fading Colours? A Synthetic Comparative Case Study of the Impact of ‘Colour Revolutions’.” Comparative Politics 46(3): 273-292. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2013. “The Role of Supranational Identity in Promoting Democratic Values.” European Union Politics 14(2): 228-249. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2013. “Economic Development Assumptions and the Elusive Curse of Oil.” International Studies Quarterly 57(4): 760-771. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Matthew Dickenson. 2012. “Turkish Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in the AKP Era.” Foreign Policy Analysis 9(2): 171-188. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “Supranational Identity, Democratic Attitudes, and Political Participation: The Case of Moldova.” European Union Politics, 11(4): 511-532. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. "The Contradiction of Modernization: A Conditional Model of Endogenous Democratization." Journal of Politics, 72(3): 785-798. [Link]
Neblo, Michael A., Kevin M. Esterling, Ryan P. Kennedy, David M. Lazer, and Anand E. Sokhey. 2010. “Who Wants to Deliberate – and Why?” American Political Science Review, 104(3): 566-583. [Link]
· Winner of the 2010 Heinz I. Eulau Award for best article published in the American Political Science Review.
Kennedy, Ryan. 2009. “Survival and Accountability: An Analysis of the Empirical Support for ‘Selectorate Theory.’” International Studies Quarterly, 53(3): 695-714. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2007. "Fragments of Economic Accountability and Trade Policy." Foreign Policy Analysis, 3(2): 145-169. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2006. "A Colorless Election: The 2005 Presidential Elections in Kazakhstan and What it Means for the Future of the Opposition." Problems in Post-Communism, 53: 46-58. [Link]
Ishiyama, John T. and Ryan Kennedy. 2001. “Mixed Electoral Systems, Super Presidentialism, Candidate Recruitment and Political Party Development in Russia, Ukraine, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan.” Europe-Asia Studies, 53(8): 1177-1191. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and John T. Ishiyama. 2001. “Writing Rights: Factors Influencing the Strength of Rights Clauses in Post-Communist Countries.” The Journal of Political Science, 29: 1-29. [Link]
Book Chapters
Dickenson, Matthew and Ryan Kennedy. 2011. “Attitudes Towards East and West in Turkish Public Opinion.” In Kilic Kanat, Kadir Ustun, and Nuh Yilmaz (eds.). History, Politics, and Foreign Policy in Turkey. Ankara, Turkey: SETA. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “A Quiet Revolution? Moldova’s 2005 Parliamentary Elections and the Influence of the Colour Revolutions.” In Donnacha O’Beachain and Abel Polese (eds.). The Colour Revolutions in the Former Soviet Republics. London: Routledge. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2010. “In The ‘New Great Game,’ Who Is Getting Played: The Effect of Chinese Investment in the Kazakhstan’s Oil Sector.” In Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Heidi Kjaernet, and Indra Overland (eds.). Caspian Petro-Politics: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan. London: Routledge [Link]
Book Reviews
Kennedy, Ryan. 2013. “Book Review: Moldova: Arena of International Influences.” East European Politics 29(2): 253-254. [Link]
Analysis and Opinion Articles
Lazer, David and Ryan Kennedy. 1 October 2015. "What We Can Learn from the Failure of Google Flu Trends." Wired. [Link]
The Lazer Lab (Ryan Kennedy, David Lazer, Katherine Ognyanova, Oren Tsur). 21 September 2015. "Debate Data Reveals It's Still the Trump Show." Politico. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan, David Lazer, Katherine Ognyanova, Oren Tsur. 13 August 2015. “DATA: Trump Won the Debate – or at Least Talked the Most.” Politico. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Halil Bilecen. 12 September 2014. “Turkey's Ambivalence Toward Joing a US Coalition Against IS Reflects the Country's Difficult Strategic Position.” The London School of Economics and Political Science European Politics (EUROPP) and Policy Blog. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 13 January 2012. “Moldova: Separatist Settlement is Still a Distant Goal.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2011. “Oil and Good Governance: Do Oil Resources Lead to Weak Institutions?” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2011. “Privatization and Nationalization in Oil and Gas: Foreign Policy and Oil Contracts in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Lydia Tiede. 2011. “Nationalization of the Oil Sector: A Political Economy Perspective.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 20 August 2010. “Moldova: Referendum Campaign Previews Challenges Ahead.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan and Adilzhan Nurmakov. 2010. “Resource Nationalism Trends in Kazakhstan, 2004-2009.” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs – RussCasp Working Paper. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 4 December 2009. “Moldova: AEI scores early foreign policy success.” Oxford Analytica.[Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 28 September 2009. “Moldova: Sharp remittance falls darken outlook.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 26 August 2009. “Moldova: Former Communist emerges as kingmaker.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 29 July 2009. “Moldova: New elections are unlikely to break deadlock.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 9 April 2009. “Moldova: Protests galvanize youth, heighten tensions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 24 October 2008. “Parties Manoeuvre Ahead of Parliamentary Vote.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 7 October 2008. “Moldova/Russia: Transnistria talks gain momentum.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2 May 2008. “Moldova: Transnistria talks offer no quick solutions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 2 April 2008. “Moldova: Chisinau-Gagauzia tensions remain strained.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 15 January 2008. “Moldova: Old challenges represent themselves in 2008.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 24 December 2007. “Moldova: Christmas row is sign of deeper tensions.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 21 November 2007. “Moldova: HIV/AIDS is at point of becoming a pandemic.” Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 8 August 2007. "Moldova: Contrary forces favour policy short-termism." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 18 July 2007. "Moldova: Press freedoms remain problematic." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 28 June 2007. "Moldova: Local Elections Show National Trends." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(15). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 25 June 2007. "Moldova: Communists lose ground in local elections." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 14 May 2007. "Moldova: Voronin pins hopes on encouraging investment." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 3 May 2007. "Talk of Transdniestr Agreement Sparks Speculation." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(11). (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 27 April 2007. "Moldova/Russia: Reported Transnistria deal is unlikely." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 April 2007. "Counting Losses as Russian Wine Ban Lingers." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(10). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 30 March 2007. "Moldova/Romania: Visa Row May Result in Looser Ties." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 22 March 2007. "What's Behind Harsh Criticism of Romania." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova Report, 9(1). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 March 2007. "Moldova: Government action hinders media freedom." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 22 February 2007. "Moldova's Broadcast Privatization -- Reform or Censorship?" RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(4). Re-published in The Moldova Foundation's Weekly News Bulletin, 27 February 2007, 3(31). Re-published again in In Focus magazine. (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 9 February 2007. "An EU Invasion Waiting to Happen." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(4). (also produced for online and radio presentation) [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 11 January 2007. "Tricky year begins for new EU neighbour." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 5 January 2007. "Unprecedented Opportunities, Challenges Posed by $1.2 Billion Aid Package." RFE/RL Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova Report, 9(1). [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 21 December 2006. "Tirsapol line hardens ahead of negotiations." Oxford Analytica. [Link]
Kennedy, Ryan. 29 November 2006. "Kazakhstan Learns to Love Borat." Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst 8(23): 3-4. [Link]
Marcus, Ustina, Nigmet Ibadildin, and Ryan Kennedy. 30 November 2005. "Vested Interests to Determine Kazakhstan's Presidential Race." Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst 6(23): 8-9. [Link]
